Up at Nylon Calculus: Introduce DRE: A (Hopefully) Better Simple Metric

An expanded explanation of the motivations for and the methodology behind my simple linear weights metric, dubbed “Daily RAPM Estimate” or “DRE.”

http://nyloncalculus.com/2015/02/23/introducing-dre-a-hopefully-better-simple-metric/

Up at Nylon Calculus: More 2014–2015 NBA Season Win Totals

Like Andrew Johnson, I did some season projectin’ for the season starting tonight. The basic method was to take ESPN’s Real Plus-Minus (RPM) numbers and run them through a simple aging curve and then to project out the season minutes.

Read more here: http://nyloncalculus.com/2014/10/28/more-2014-2015-nba-season-win-projections/